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"response_delay_max": 30, "sentiment_bias": 0.2, "stance": "neutral", "influence_weight": 1.8 } ], "event_config": { "initial_posts": [ { "content": "【武汉大学官方声明】经校方依法依规复核,决定撤销对肖某某的处分。学校对由此造成的影响表示歉意,已成立独立调查小组,后续将依法公布调查和整改方案,保障各方合法权益。", "poster_type": "Official" }, { "content": "【新闻速递】武汉大学宣布撤销处分:法院一审已判定不构成性骚扰,校方随后决定依法撤销处分。校内外舆论分化明显:支持者称司法事实应被尊重,质疑者要求透明全部处理过程与责任追究。", "poster_type": "MediaOutlet" }, { "content": "作为一名在校生,我支持依法纠错,但希望学校把事实和证据公开透明讲清楚,不要只在舆论高压下做表态。我们要制度化的申诉与监督渠道,而不是事后软着陆的公关。", "poster_type": "Student" }, { "content": "撤销处分是对司法结果的回应,但不是结束。高校治理应反思程序正义与信息公开机制:建议公布调查细节、追责相关责任人并建立独立学生申诉渠道,保护受害者与被处分人的合法权益。", "poster_type": "Professor" }, { "content": "校友基金会注意到校方最新决定。我们关切学校治理透明度与校友捐赠信心,将密切关注后续独立调查与整改措施,并保留基于处置结果调整支持策略的权利。", "poster_type": "Organization" }, { "content": "评论:有人称这是‘行政纠错’,也有人认为是‘避责式退步’。关键在于后续:若无公开、可验证的问责与制度改革,舆论会将此次事件作为长期治理缺陷的证据。", "poster_type": "MediaOutlet" }, { "content": "海外在校生/校友圈已经在转发学校声明。国外平台上对‘高校程序正义’的讨论正在升温,部分海外学生发声支持司法结论,另一些则担心校园文化与受害人保护。", "poster_type": "Student" } ], "scheduled_events": [], "hot_topics": [ "撤销处分", "肖某某", "程序正义", "校方道歉与公开说明", "独立调查/司法对接", "受害者/当事人权益保障", "舆论走向分化", "校园治理改革", "师资与生源流失风险", "校友与捐赠信心", "微博/B站/抖音/知乎舆论矩阵", "外媒与留学生圈层放大" ], "narrative_direction": "官方宣布撤销处分将触发短期流量高峰与情感分化:一方面,支持“司法裁定回归、纠错到位”的声音会占据部分话语权,形成“正义得以伸张”的叙事;另一方面,批评者将把焦点转向校方此前处置过程的透明度、责任追究和对受害者的补偿,形成二次审视与追责话语。传播路径由校园群体(在校生、硕博、青年教师)迅速放量为主场,随后被媒体话题化并扩散到公众与校友圈层,海外留学生与外媒可能在24-72小时放大国际关注度。若校方同步推出诚恳道歉、独立调查、制度性改革与受害者救济,舆情有望在1-2周内从强烈负面转为“审慎认可+观望”;若仅形式性撤销或信息不透明,则可能在中期(1-3周)引发更大范围的信任崩塌(影响捐赠、招生志愿及师资流动),并长期固化为“治理赤字”叙事。" }, "twitter_config": { "platform": "twitter", "recency_weight": 0.4, "popularity_weight": 0.3, "relevance_weight": 0.3, "viral_threshold": 10, "echo_chamber_strength": 0.5 }, "reddit_config": { "platform": "reddit", "recency_weight": 0.3, "popularity_weight": 0.4, "relevance_weight": 0.3, "viral_threshold": 15, "echo_chamber_strength": 0.6 }, "llm_model": "openai/gpt-5-mini", "llm_base_url": "https://openrouter.ai/api/v1", "generated_at": "2025-12-01T19:39:08.488771", "generation_reasoning": "时间配置: 选择7天(168小时)模拟以覆盖事件爆发、传播高峰与中期余波以及可能的官方二次回应窗口;15分钟为轮次粒度,能较细致捕捉舆论节奏与突发放大。基于提供的活跃度系数(北京时间):0-5点系数0.05(极低)、6-8点0.4(早高峰上升)、9-18点0.7(工作时间稳定传播)、19-22点1.5(晚间传播高峰)、23点后0.5(夜间下降)。agents_per_hour_min/max由实体总数(93)作基准并考虑社媒放大与重复发帖:理论最低在深夜极低活跃时接近实体数×0.05≈5,为留有背景噪声与监测必要,设为10;最高考虑晚间放大效应与多平台多次激活(转发、评论、媒体跟进、外省/海外放大等),上限设为实体数×3.5≈326,用于支持出现病毒式扩散与多源参与的情景。所有时间配置均以北京时间作息习惯为准,以便模拟贴合中国网民与相关方的活跃节律。 | 事件配置: 选取关键词覆盖法律裁定、程序正义、信息透明、校园治理与外溢风险(捐赠、生源、师资)。叙事方向基于典型舆情发展规律:撤销处分会产生即时分化—支持司法正当性与要求校方问责并行。设计的初始帖以官方声明启动议题,媒体报道放大、学生与教师分别从情感与制度层面响应,校友/组织强调利益敏感性。建议监测指标:情感倾向(72小时变化)、热搜标签、平台传播路径、校友捐赠意向与招生志愿变化、青年教师离职咨询量;同时建议校方在24小时内提供透明时间表、独立调查机制与受害者救济措施以管控风险。 | Agent配置: 成功生成 93 个" }